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Environment & Climate

Climate Action Tracker projects 2.7C warming under current policies

The Guardian reports that Climate Action Tracker estimates 1.9C warming even if all national pledges are fulfilled, with 2.7C expected under current policies.

The short version

  • Climate Action Tracker projects average warming of 2.7C by the end of the century under current policies.[The Guardian]
  • Even if all pledges and long-term promises are fulfilled, the report says warming would still reach 1.9C.[The Guardian]
  • Sarah Heck, the report's lead author, says governments are not moving fast enough to escape the overshoot trap.[The Guardian]

Key facts

  • Climate Action Tracker projects average warming of 2.7C compared with preindustrial times by the end of the century under current policies.[The Guardian]
  • The report says that even in the most optimistic scenario, with all pledges and long-term promises fulfilled, warming would reach 1.9C by the end of the century.[The Guardian]
  • The Climate Action Tracker analysis says carbon pollution is set to dip slightly this year.[The Guardian]
  • Bill Hare, chief executive of Climate Analytics, said exceeding 1.5C warming cannot be an excuse for defeatism.[The Guardian]
  • Greta Thunberg warned in Antalya on Tuesday that everything and everyone we love is at stake because of the failure to confront the climate crisis.[The Guardian]
  • Sarah Heck, lead author of the report, said governments collectively are not moving fast enough to escape the emerging overshoot trap.[The Guardian]

What remains uncertain

  • The projections come from a single Climate Action Tracker analysis, and The Guardian is the only outlet reporting this event, so independent verification is not available.[The Guardian]

Sources

Outlet counts describe coverage, not independent confirmation. Reports may share a wire service or original source.