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Democratic strategist Chuck Rocha forecasts Hispanic voter surge in midterms

Chuck Rocha projects a Hispanic voter surge as Pew estimates 39 million Hispanic Americans are eligible to vote.

Published Nov 5, 2026 · 18:29 UTC2 reports

The short version

  • Democratic strategist Chuck Rocha forecasts a Hispanic voter surge in the midterms, calling it a "Hispanic hurricane."[CBS News]
  • Rocha advises Democratic Senate and gubernatorial candidates in Texas, and the forecast remains a projection rather than a verified result.[CBS News]
  • The Pew Research Center estimates 39 million Hispanic Americans are eligible to vote, up about 5.2 million since 2022.[CBS News]
  • Over 400,000 people who did not vote in 2024 cast 2026 ballots in Texas, and 50 percent are Latino, according to TargetSmart adviser Tom Bonier.[Wired]

Key facts

  • Democratic strategist Chuck Rocha forecast a Hispanic hurricane coming in the midterms.[CBS News]
  • The Pew Research Center estimates 39 million Hispanic Americans are eligible to vote, an increase of about 5.2 million since 2022.[CBS News]
  • Over 400,000 people who did not vote in 2024 cast ballots in Texas in 2026, and 50 percent of them are Latino voters, according to TargetSmart adviser Tom Bonier.[Wired]

What remains uncertain

  • The Hispanic voter surge is a forecast, and its effect on midterm outcomes is not yet known.[CBS News]
  • The Texas turnout figure comes from an interview with a Democratic adviser and is not independently verified in the provided reporting.[Wired]

Sources

Outlet counts describe coverage, not independent confirmation. Reports may share a wire service or original source.