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Third-quarter US output rose 3.4% annualized, with September inflation still elevated

Growth accelerated from 2.2% in the prior quarter, while September inflation stayed above the Fed's 2% target.

The short version

  • US GDP grew at a 3.4% annualized pace in the third quarter, up from 2.2% in the prior quarter, according to Commerce Department data.[ABC News]
  • September inflation was above the Fed's 2% target, but reports cite different rates of 3.6% and 3.7%.[ABC News · NPR]
  • Fed Chair Kevin Warsh acknowledged elevated inflation at a Wednesday press conference while voicing optimism about economic growth.[ABC News]
  • CME's FedWatch tool, a market sentiment measure, put odds of a December quarter-point rate hike at about 85%.[ABC News]

Key facts

  • US GDP grew at a 3.4% annualized rate over the three months ending in September, according to a government report released Thursday.[ABC News]
  • Third-quarter growth accelerated from 2.2% annualized in the prior quarter, according to Commerce Department data.[ABC News]
  • Prices rose 3.7% in September from a year earlier, according to government data cited by ABC News.[ABC News]
  • NPR reports that prices rose 3.6% in September from a year earlier, according to the Commerce Department report.[NPR]
  • The personal saving rate was 3.8% in September, down from 4.1% in August, according to a separate Commerce Department report cited by NPR.[NPR]
  • Initial jobless claims edged lower to a seasonally adjusted 194,000 for the week ended Oct. 24, below a 200,000 estimate.[CNBC]
  • Fed Chair Kevin Warsh voiced optimism about US economic performance at a Wednesday press conference while acknowledging elevated inflation.[ABC News]
  • CME Group's FedWatch Tool put the odds of a quarter-point rate hike at the Fed's December meeting at about 85%.[ABC News]

What remains uncertain

  • Reports give different September inflation rates, 3.7% in ABC News and 3.6% in NPR, and the discrepancy is unresolved.[ABC News · NPR]
  • The 85% odds of a December rate hike come from a market sentiment measure, not a Fed decision.[ABC News]

Sources

Outlet counts describe coverage, not independent confirmation. Reports may share a wire service or original source.