Polls suggest Texas Hispanic support for Trump is slipping before midterms

The short version

• Recent polls suggest Trump's support among Texas Hispanic voters has ebbed since 2024, with a majority of surveyed Texas Hispanic voters disapproving of him.[BBC News]
• Trump took around 55% of Texas Hispanic votes in 2024, a record for a Republican presidential candidate.[BBC News]
• Government figures obtained by the Deportation Data Project indicate Texas accounted for roughly one-third of nationwide ICE arrests in July 2026.[BBC News]
• The 15th congressional district, redrawn in 2025 to favor Republicans, currently shows a Democratic polling lead of five or six points.[BBC News]

Key facts

• Government figures obtained by the Deportation Data Project indicate Texas accounted for roughly one-third of all ICE arrests nationwide in July 2026, more than any other state.[BBC News]
• Trump took around 55% of Hispanic votes in Texas in the 2024 presidential election, a record for a Republican presidential candidate.[BBC News]
• Surveys taken since late summer indicate a majority of Texas Hispanic voters disapprove of the president and favor Democrats by a significant margin.[BBC News]
• A recent CBS News poll found nearly 60% of Latinos believe the Trump administration has deported more people than they expected.[CBS News]
• Texas's 15th congressional district was redrawn in 2025 to create a notional 18-point Republican majority, but current polling suggests a Democratic lead of five or six points.[BBC News]

Sources

Outlet counts describe coverage, not independent confirmation. Reports may share a wire service or original source.

• Hispanic voters helped bring Trump to power - in Texas, the tide may be turningBBC News - Top Stories
• ICE crackdown prompts some Texas Latinos to turn away from TrumpCBS News - US