Environment & Climate
Arctic wildfires could release frozen permafrost carbon in warming scenarios
MIT Technology Review reports that Canadian wildfires released more carbon than the nation's fossil fuel emissions in 2023, and that Arctic permafrost is shrinking.
The short version
- Canadian wildfires released more carbon in 2023 than the country's combined fossil fuel emissions.[MIT Technology Review]
- Arctic permafrost has shrunk about 12% since 1850, with loss accelerating over the past 50 years.[MIT Technology Review]
- Under high warming scenarios, fire-driven thaw could release nearly 80 billion tons of CO2 by 2100, a model-based estimate.[MIT Technology Review]
Key facts
- Intensifying wildfires in Canada released more carbon than the nation's combined fossil fuel emissions in 2023.[MIT Technology Review]
- The footprint of Arctic permafrost has shrunk by about 12% since 1850, with loss rapidly accelerating during the last 50 years.[MIT Technology Review]
- By 2100, fire-driven permafrost thaw could release about nearly 80 billion tons of carbon dioxide under high warming scenarios, according to a January study cited in the report.[MIT Technology Review]
- A 2022 Science Advances paper led by researchers at Woodwell and the Union of Concerned Scientists found that greater efforts to put out boreal fires could be a cost-effective climate solution.[MIT Technology Review]
- In 2019, the Yukon Flats region suffered a series of devastating fires that burned some 750,000 acres.[MIT Technology Review]
What remains uncertain
- Forward-looking carbon figures are model-based estimates under high warming scenarios, not observed totals.[MIT Technology Review]
Sources
Outlet counts describe coverage, not independent confirmation. Reports may share a wire service or original source.
- Inside the quest to combat Arctic fires and save the planet’s frozen carbonMIT Technology Review metered