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Environment & Climate

Strengthening El Nino threatens global food security and commodity prices, report says

An intensifying climate phenomenon could push millions into food insecurity and raise prices, according to ABC News.

Updated Sep 22, 2026 · 10:13 UTC1 reports

The short version

  • Experts and weather agencies warn that an intensifying El Nino could become one of the strongest recorded since 1950, causing severe droughts and extreme weather across Asia, Africa, and South America.[ABC News]
  • The World Food Program warns the weather pattern could push 49 million additional people into acute food insecurity by late 2027.[ABC News]
  • Goldman Sachs estimates food commodity prices could increase by over 15%, while agricultural producers prepare for crop disruptions.[ABC News]

Key facts

  • The U.S. NOAA estimates a 69% probability that the current El Nino will be the strongest recorded since 1950.[ABC News]
  • Global ocean temperatures reached record high levels in August.[ABC News]
  • Indonesia and Malaysia generate approximately 85% of global palm oil supplies.[ABC News]

What remains uncertain

  • The exact scale of food commodity price increases, estimated by Goldman Sachs to potentially exceed 15%.[ABC News]
  • Whether this event will surpass previous record-breaking El Nino intensity levels.[ABC News]

Sources

Outlet counts describe coverage, not independent confirmation. Reports may share a wire service or original source.