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Trump pursues Belarus fertilizer deal seeking lower prices than Canadian imports

The proposal follows recent sanctions relief but faces supply constraints and routing concerns through Russia.

The short version

  • President Donald Trump announced the U.S. is pursuing a massive potash fertilizer deal with Belarus to lower costs relative to Canadian supplies.[The Guardian]
  • The effort coincides with a trade conflict with Canada, which provided 79% of U.S. potash imports in 2024.[The Guardian]
  • Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe noted shipping would likely route through Russia, while Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko indicated current output is mostly contracted.[Business Insider]

Key facts

  • President Trump stated on Truth Social that the U.S. is working on a deal to purchase Belarusian potash at lower prices than current Canadian imports.[The Guardian · Business Insider]
  • According to the U.S. Geological Survey, 79% of U.S. potash imports came from Canada, 11% from Russia, and 4% from Belarus in 2024.[The Guardian]
  • Belarus recently freed 25 political prisoners as the U.S. lifted sanctions on two Belarusian companies.[The Guardian]
  • Exiled Belarusian opposition leader Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya warned that trade deals with the Lukashenko regime are risky and fund repression.[The Guardian]

What remains uncertain

  • It is uncertain whether Belarus has available potash capacity, as Alexander Lukashenko noted that this year's output is already under contract.[Business Insider]
  • Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe questioned whether Belarusian potash would actually prove cheaper after factoring in transportation through Russia.[Business Insider]

Sources

Outlet counts describe coverage, not independent confirmation. Reports may share a wire service or original source.