Australian report projects deaths to surpass births by the 2060s

The short version

• Australia's Intergenerational Report predicts deaths will outnumber births for the first time by the 2060s as fertility rates decline and the population ages.[The Guardian]
• Population growth is set to slow from a historical average of 1.4% to 0.9% annually, reaching 39.3 million by 2065-66.[The Guardian · Al Jazeera]
• The report forecasts lower real per-capita GDP growth, assuming long-term productivity will rebound to 1.2% through artificial intelligence adoption.[The Guardian · Al Jazeera]
• Business leaders questioned the assumed productivity gains, warning that improvements driven by artificial intelligence cannot be taken for granted.[Al Jazeera]

Key facts

• The Australian Treasury's Intergenerational Report projects that deaths will outnumber births for the first time by the 2060s.[The Guardian · Al Jazeera]
• Australia's population growth is expected to slow from 1.4% historically to 0.9% annually, reaching 39.3 million by 2065-66.[The Guardian · Al Jazeera]
• Real GDP per person is projected to grow by 1.2% over the next 40 years, compared to 1.5% over the previous four decades.[The Guardian]

Sources

Outlet counts describe coverage, not independent confirmation. Reports may share a wire service or original source.

• More Australians will be dying than being born in 40 years as major report predicts future of lower growthThe Guardian - World
• Australia’s deaths to outnumber births by 2060s, report saysAl Jazeera