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Environment & Climate

Strengthening El Niño forecast to bring warmer and wetter UK autumn

Forecasters expect higher temperatures and rainfall across the UK later this season, according to BBC News.

Updated Sep 11, 2026 · 06:48 UTC1 reports

The short version

  • The Met Office forecasts that a strengthening El Niño will likely cause wetter and warmer-than-normal autumn weather across the UK.[BBC News]
  • The weather phenomenon is predicted to be the strongest in living memory, although forecasters caution this may not directly trigger more severe UK impacts.[BBC News]
  • The projection follows the UK's provisionally hottest summer on record, while environmental authorities report national drought status remains unchanged so far.[BBC News]

Key facts

  • The Met Office forecasts a strengthening El Niño will likely cause a wetter and warmer-than-normal autumn in the UK.[BBC News]
  • The climate phenomenon is projected to be the strongest in living memory.[BBC News]
  • Summer 2026 was provisionally declared the hottest on record following five widespread heatwaves.[BBC News]
  • The Environment Agency National Drought Group reported that recent unsettled weather has brought no change to national drought status.[BBC News]

What remains uncertain

  • Whether a record-strength El Niño will translate into more severe localized weather impacts for the UK remains uncertain.[BBC News]

Sources

Outlet counts describe coverage, not independent confirmation. Reports may share a wire service or original source.