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Politics

Poll shows tight Michigan Senate race between Mike Rogers and Abdul El-Sayed

A survey shows Mike Rogers and Abdul El-Sayed statistically tied, according to The Hill.

The short version

  • A survey by WDIV-TV and The Detroit News finds Republican Mike Rogers at 45.8 percent and Democrat Abdul El-Sayed at 44.4 percent.[The Hill]
  • The candidates are in a statistical dead heat within the survey's 4 percentage point margin of error.[The Hill]
  • Over 9 percent of voters remain undecided ahead of the scheduled start of early voting on Oct. 24.[The Hill]
  • Decision Desk HQ estimated El-Sayed's probability of victory at 66 percent as of Tuesday.[The Hill]

Key facts

  • A poll conducted by WDIV-TV and The Detroit News showed Mike Rogers with 45.8 percent support and Abdul El-Sayed with 44.4 percent.[The Hill]
  • The survey has a margin of error of 4 percentage points, leaving more than 9 percent of respondents undecided.[The Hill]
  • Decision Desk HQ gave El-Sayed a 66 percent likelihood of winning as of Tuesday.[The Hill]
  • Rogers has publicly attacked El-Sayed as too extreme following appearances with streamer Hasan Piker.[The Hill]

What remains uncertain

  • The outcome remains uncertain because the candidates' support falls within the survey's 4-point margin of error and over 9 percent of voters are undecided.[The Hill]

Sources

Outlet counts describe coverage, not independent confirmation. Reports may share a wire service or original source.