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Politics

Survey finds Democrats leading among Latino voters across competitive House districts

Democrats lead Republicans 58 to 35 percent among Latino voters in key House districts, according to The Hill.

The short version

  • A Hart Research/TelevisaUnivision poll found Democratic congressional candidates hold a 58 to 35 percent lead among Latino voters across 17 competitive House districts.[The Hill]
  • In three competitive Texas House districts, Latino support shifted from an even 44-44 split in the 2024 presidential race to a 56-36 lead for Democrats.[The Hill]
  • Eleven percent of surveyed Latino voters who backed President Trump in 2024 now say they support Democratic candidates.[The Hill]
  • The survey sampled 1,500 Latino respondents in August and carries a margin of error of 2.5 percentage points.[The Hill]

Key facts

  • A Hart Research/TelevisaUnivision survey indicates Democrats hold a 58 percent to 35 percent generic ballot lead among Latino voters across 17 competitive House districts.[The Hill]
  • In three battleground Texas House races, Latino voters moved from an even 44-44 split in 2024 to 56-36 favoring Democrats.[The Hill]
  • About 11 percent of Latino respondents who reported voting for President Trump in 2024 now support Democratic candidates.[The Hill]
  • The poll included 1,500 Latino respondents surveyed between August 6 and August 17, with a 2.5 percentage point margin of error.[The Hill]

What remains uncertain

  • Whether these polling margins among Latino voters across targeted districts will persist through election day remains unknown.[The Hill]

Sources

Outlet counts describe coverage, not independent confirmation. Reports may share a wire service or original source.