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Environment & Climate

Recent El Niño events are strongest in 1,000 years, coral study finds

Researchers used fossilized corals from the Galápagos to construct a millennium-long temperature record.

The short version

  • A University of Michigan-led study reconstructed a 1,000-year ocean surface temperature record using fossilized Galápagos corals.
  • The findings indicate that El Niño events in the late 20th and early 21st centuries have been stronger than any during the past millennium.
  • The long-term data helps resolve previous uncertainties caused by short instrumental records and conflicting climate models.

Key facts

  • Researchers led by University of Michigan environmental scientist Julie Cole reconstructed a 1,000-year ocean surface temperature record.[Ars Technica]
  • The research utilized fossilized corals from the Galápagos Islands to measure historical ocean temperature shifts.[Ars Technica]
  • The study revealed that late 20th and early 21st-century El Niño events surpassed the strength of any observed in the preceding 1,000 years.[Ars Technica]

What remains uncertain

  • Climate models have previously disagreed on whether global warming directly drives more severe El Niño fluctuations.[Ars Technica]

Sources