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China's manufacturing activity contracts for second consecutive month in August

China's official manufacturing PMI rose to 49.8, exceeding expectations but remaining below the threshold for expansion as weak domestic demand continues.

The short version

  • China's official purchasing managers' index rose to 49.8 in August from 49.2 in July, remaining below the 50 mark that separates expansion from contraction.
  • Strong export demand for high-tech goods, semiconductors, and electric vehicles supported manufacturing, while a ongoing property slump and weak domestic consumption constrained broader economic growth.
  • Economists expect limited policy stimulus from Beijing despite calls for monetary easing and fiscal spending.

Key facts

  • China's official manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) registered at 49.8 in August, up from 49.2 in July.[CNBC · Associated Press]
  • The 49.8 PMI reading beat the 49.6 estimate forecasted by economists polled by Reuters.[CNBC]
  • Sub-indexes for production, total new orders, and new export orders all returned to expansion territory above 50 in August.[Associated Press]
  • China's second-quarter economic growth slowed to an annual rate of 4.3%, its weakest pace since late 2022.[CNBC · Associated Press]
  • Chinese exports rose nearly 24% year-over-year in July, driven in part by demand for artificial intelligence hardware and green tech exports.[CNBC · Associated Press]

What remains uncertain

  • The timing, scale, and effectiveness of additional fiscal and monetary stimulus measures pledged by Chinese officials remain uncertain.[CNBC]

Sources