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Politics

Twelve competitive Senate races highlight 2026 battle for chamber control

With Republicans holding a 53-47 majority, six key state contests are currently rated as toss-ups heading into the midterms.

The short version

  • Six states—Michigan, Iowa, Texas, Ohio, Maine, and Alaska—are currently designated as toss-ups in recent power rankings.
  • Republicans are defending a 53-47 Senate majority while navigating traditional midterm political headwinds and economic pressures.
  • Key developments include primary victories by non-establishment candidates and unusual ballot dynamics in several contested states.

Key facts

  • The Fox News Power Rankings designate six Senate races as toss-ups: Michigan, Iowa, Texas, Ohio, Maine, and Alaska.[Fox News]
  • In Texas, state Representative James Talarico won the Democratic nomination and raised approximately $60 million to face Republican nominee Ken Paxton.[Fox News]
  • Maine state Senate President Troy Jackson became the Democratic nominee after primary winner Graham Platner withdrew from the race.[Fox News]
  • Former Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown is challenging Republican incumbent Senator Jon Husted in Ohio to complete the remainder of Vice President JD Vance's term.[Fox News]
  • In Alaska, former Representative Mary Peltola is challenging Republican incumbent Senator Dan Sullivan, while a second candidate also named Dan Sullivan appears on the ballot.[Fox News]

What remains uncertain

  • Republicans allege the candidacy of a second Dan Sullivan in Alaska is a strategy to confuse voters, an assertion the candidate has denied.[Fox News]
  • Former Maine Democratic candidate Graham Platner withdrew from the Senate race following multiple controversies, including a rape allegation that he denied.[Fox News]

Sources