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Entertainment

North American summer box office projected to reach $4.5 billion amid higher ticket prices and lower attendance

Revenue has rebounded to pre-pandemic levels, but the industry faces a sharp decline in total tickets sold, active screens, and overall movie releases.

The short version

  • North American theater revenue is on track for a $4.5 billion summer, surpassing previous record-setting seasons in 2019 and 2023.
  • Higher revenue is primarily driven by rising ticket prices and premium formats rather than increased attendance, which remains down nearly 250 million tickets from pre-pandemic levels.
  • The industry is operating with fewer total movie releases and thousands fewer active screens following post-2019 theater closures.
  • Hollywood studios and theater operators face long-term sustainability questions as high individual film earnings mask broader declines in cinema habituation.

Key facts

  • North American summer box office revenue is projected to hit $4.5 billion, higher than the summer tallies of 2019 and 2023.[NPR]
  • Five 2026 films have crossed $1 billion in global revenue, including Spider-Man: Brand New Day, The Odyssey, Toy Story 5, Michael, and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie.[NPR]
  • Independent thrillers Obsession and Backrooms, produced by YouTube creators, generated $460 million in North American ticket sales.[NPR]
  • Data from S&P Global shows North American ticket sales through mid-August dropped from 795.9 million in 2019 to 547.1 million in 2026.[NPR]
  • According to research firm Omdia, North America has lost more than 7,000 movie screens since 2019, when 44,283 screens were in operation.[NPR]
  • EntTelligence data indicates average adult ticket prices have risen above $13, up from around $9 seven years ago, with premium formats averaging $18.46.[NPR]
  • Approximately 300 films played in theaters this summer, down from roughly 400 in the summer of 2019.[NPR]

What remains uncertain

  • It remains uncertain whether the film industry's strategy of relying on higher ticket prices and fewer total releases is commercially sustainable over the long term.[NPR]

Sources