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University of Melbourne study supports ending higher private health rebates for older Australians

Researchers found that aligning rebate rates across age groups could save up to $940 million annually while leading few people to drop coverage.

The short version

  • A University of Melbourne study found that removing higher private health insurance rebates for Australians aged 65 and over, planned for April 2027, is a beneficial policy that will not significantly impact public hospitals.
  • Researchers estimate the change will save the government between $730 million and $940 million annually by 2028-29, with only 0.1% to 0.4% of insured individuals expected to drop cover.
  • Health Minister Mark Butler stated savings will be redirected to aged care, while the opposition and medical groups warned the policy could harm low-income pensioners and strain public healthcare.

Key facts

  • Proposed reforms set for April 2027 would remove higher age-based private health insurance rebate rates for Australians 65 and older, basing rebates solely on income.[The Guardian]
  • University of Melbourne health economists analyzed a decade of tax data from about 130,000 people to evaluate the policy's impact.[The Guardian]
  • The research estimates between 14,821 and 42,498 older Australians will drop coverage, aligning with government estimates of approximately 44,000 people.[The Guardian]
  • The policy change is projected to save the government between $730 million and $940 million annually by 2028-29.[The Guardian]
  • Health Minister Mark Butler confirmed savings would be funneled into aged care and argued there will be no material impact on public hospital demand.[The Guardian]
  • The Australian Medical Association and opposition shadow minister Senator Anne Ruston oppose the measure, raising concerns about low-income pensioners.[The Guardian]

What remains uncertain

  • Whether the policy change will pass the Senate, where opposition figures plan to block the measure.[The Guardian]
  • The extent to which dropping private coverage will place additional operational demand on public hospital systems.[The Guardian]

Sources