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US-Canada trade tensions lead to drop in Canadian visitor spending across US states

Projections show 14 states and Washington, D.C., facing above-average losses per resident following tariff threats and declining travel.

The short version

  • Escalating trade tensions and tariff threats between the U.S. and Canada have coincided with a notable decline in Canadian leisure travel to the United States.
  • Data from Statistics Canada indicates Canadian land arrivals dropped by 33.9%, leaving travel numbers below 2024 levels.
  • A Tourism Economics analysis projected that 14 U.S. states and Washington, D.C., face per capita losses exceeding the national average of $11 per resident, with Alaska facing the highest potential impact at $114 per resident.

Key facts

  • The U.S. administration imposed 50% tariffs on Canadian items including alcohol and hockey equipment, while threatening additional 50% tariffs on steel, trucks, and auto parts.[Business Insider]
  • Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney stated that Canada would retaliate with dollar-for-dollar matching tariffs against the U.S.[Business Insider]
  • Statistics Canada reported a 33.9% drop in Canadian land arrivals to the U.S. following 2025, with overall Canadian visitor counts remaining below 2024 levels.[Business Insider]
  • Tourism Economics estimated that 14 U.S. states and Washington, D.C., faced 2025 Canadian spending losses per resident higher than the $11 national average.[Business Insider]
  • Alaska had the highest projected loss in Canadian visitor spending per resident at $114, followed by Nevada at $77, Washington, D.C., at $61, Hawaii at $45, and Vermont at $37.[Business Insider]

What remains uncertain

  • The per capita financial impacts projected by Tourism Economics rely on 2025 forecasts rather than finalized spending figures.[Business Insider]

Sources