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Study estimates at least 25% of former NFL players in sample had CTE

Researchers analyzing former players who died between 2008 and 2021 found high rates of chronic traumatic encephalopathy among donated brains.

The short version

  • A study published in The BMJ estimates that at least 24.5% of former NFL players who died between 2016 and 2021 had chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE).
  • Out of 338 donated brains examined from a group of 1,712 deceased former players, 93.2% showed structural evidence of CTE.
  • The NFL and NFL Players Association responded by emphasizing ongoing research, head impact reduction efforts, and long-term support for athletes.

Key facts

  • A study in The BMJ analyzing 1,712 former NFL players who died between 2008 and 2021 estimated a minimum CTE prevalence of 24.5% among those who died between 2016 and 2021.[ABC News]
  • Researchers examined 338 donated brains from the cohort and found evidence of CTE in 315 of them (93.2%).[ABC News]
  • Stage IV CTE, the most severe form of the disease, was associated with a 44% higher risk of dementia after accounting for differences between brain donors and non-donors.[ABC News]
  • By contrast, researchers noted that studies of community brain banks show CTE affects less than 1% of the general population.[ABC News]
  • In statements, the NFL cited its ongoing efforts to reduce concussions and head impacts, while the NFLPA described the findings as a reminder of football's risks and a call to action for improved safety and healthcare access.[ABC News]

What remains uncertain

  • The precise overall prevalence of CTE among all former NFL players remains uncertain due to potential selection bias in brain donations, leading researchers to estimate a wide possible range between 24.5% and 97.7% for the studied period.[ABC News]
  • The full extent of neurodegenerative conditions among former players may be underestimated because many dementia cases were omitted from death certificates.[ABC News]

Sources